Archive for AISTATS 2021

[strong] foundations of synthetic B’earning

Posted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 15, 2024 by xi'an

I only recently read the (foundational!) paper on Foundations of Bayesian learnin from synthetic data by Harrison Wilde, Jack Jewson, Sebastian Volmer [all associated with Warwick at some point] and [my long time friend]  Chris Holmes, that merges Bayesian inference with differential privacy constraints thru generalised / Gibbs interface. Recouping with the M-open perspective in order to accommodate the misspecified nature of synthetic data. I like the approach very much in that it intersects a lot with my own views, excepts for following the differential privacy formalism. I however think that further progress could be made by adopting an even more Bayesian position.

Their key messages from that paper are that

  1. learning from synthetic data may prove damaging to your (data) health
  2. robustness unsurprisingly reduces the odds or magnitude of the damage
  3. real data can still be used to some extent

Since the (synthetic) generating model can be a GAN, the privacy requirement is such that noise is “injected” in the input data and in the learning mechanism. This is not discussed in the paper but highly conservative constraints surely make the DGP loose several learning points.

On the side, I also like the alternative of opposing data keeper and learner rather than data owner and adversary. Learning here means taking an optimal B decision about the actual data averaged over the true DGP. With a prior on the distribution of the actual data, while being unable to avoid misspecification in representing the (marginal) synthetic generation model.

Unsurprisingly, the alternative approach is relying on proper scoring rules as Bissiri et al. (2016). Rather than finding the distribution KL closest to the synthetic generative model, robustified by generalised B inference, either via downweighting or via ß-divergence. With a preference for the latter. Interestingly, the authors consider the optimal learning size for the synthetic data. Since bringing in more synthetic data does not mean better performances.

Bayesian inference and conformal prediction

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 10, 2023 by xi'an

γ-ABC

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , , , on March 24, 2021 by xi'an

An AISTATS 2021 paper by Masahiro Fujisawa,Takeshi Teshima, Issei Sato and Masashi Sugiyama (RIKEN, Tokyo) just appeared on arXiv.  (AISTATS 2021 is again virtual this year.)

“ABC can be sensitive to outliers if a data discrepancy measure is chosen inappropriately (…) In this paper, we propose a novel outlier-robust and computationally-efficient discrepancy measure based on the γ-divergence”

The focus is on measure of robustness for ABC distances as those can be lethal if insufficient summarisation is used. (Note that a referenced paper by Erlis Ruli, Nicola Sartori and Laura Ventura from Padova appeared last year on robust ABC.) The current approach mixes the γ-divergence of Fujisawa and Eguchi, with a k-nearest neighbour density estimator. Which may not prove too costly, of order O(n log n), but also may be a poor if robust approximation, even if it provides an asymptotic unbiasedness and almost surely convergent approximation. These properties are those established in the paper, which only demonstrates convergence in the sample size n to an ABC approximation with the true γ-divergence but with a fixed tolerance ε, when the most recent results are rather concerned with the rates of convergence of ε(n) to zero. (An extensive simulation section compares this approach with several ABC alternatives, incl. ours using the Wasserstein distance. If I read the comparison graphs properly, it does not look as if there is a huge discrepancy between the two approaches under no contamination.) Incidentally, the paper contains a substantial survey section and has a massive reference list, if missing the publication more than a year earlier of our Wasserstein paper in Series B.