Archive for George Orwell

a journal of the elderberry father

Posted in Books, Kids, Mountains, pictures, Travel, Wines with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 15, 2025 by xi'an

Read The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet by David Mitchell, which takes place in 1799 at the Dutch East India Company trading post Dejima in Nagasaki, with Jacob de Zoet being a young Dutch trader. There are a lot of threads, from the Tokugawa closure of Japan to foreigners (called sakoku), to the hidden Christians, to the mutual xenophobia of Dutch and Japanese officials, to the emergence of a global commercial system (with de Zoet carrying Adam Smith in his travel box), to supernatural powers of zen monks, &tc., &tc… As The Guardian puts it,  “the final effect is confused. The main problem seems to be that Mitchell hasn’t decided if he’s writing a straight historical novel, a grandly themed fable or a cheerfully trashy romp.” Also read a BD taking on Animal Farm, called Animal Castle where the dictator is a massive bull and the enforcers Dobermanns. With a modern twist and both humour and resistance in the face of tyranny.

Made more rhubarb preserve, more galettes and more almond butter. Of which the later may have costed me dear since a parking car presumably damaged my most useful bike to a point of no repair, while I was purchasing those almonds. (I ended up find a used and cheap version of my light city bike to be cannibalised for parts.) I also tried to make the galettes on a traditional cast iron billig (pancake pan), but could not keep the galettes from sticking. And became a Holy Grail father by making a jar of elderberry jelly out of the berries growing from an old elder in our garden, a first attempt if the last type of berry I made use of! It proved rather time-consuming from collecting the berries on high branches to combing them from the stems, to cleaning them and to finally press them into a juice (that need be well-boiled to avoid poisonous cyanide effects!). Also made a few jars of blackberry jam out of invading vines from a deceased neighbour’s garden, which took about a tenth of the time necessary for the elderberry jelly.

Watched Old Guard 2, irremediably terrible (in The Guardian‘s terms, “this delayed Netflix sequel is an incomplete mess”). And the 2009 Japanese series Jin, another time-trap scenario when a character gets sucked into an earlier era (1860’s Edo Japan in this case) and brings changes while trying to avoid impacting the current era. As a neurosurgeon having to fight cholera with no drugs. Enjoyable enough, with a crazy samurai reminding me of Mifune Toshirō.  Apart the soapy parts and the long periods when the surgeon stares at the sun (without turning blind). But not as funny as the South Korean Mr. Queen. However it made me aware of the time when the Tokugawa shogunate ended and the Meiji Imperial Government took over. The characters include historical figures like Katsu Kaishū and Sakamoto Ryōma. I also discovered how much France and Britain were involved in this transition.

the thought police

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 31, 2025 by xi'an

1984 or 2025 [newspeak]

Posted in Books, pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 28, 2025 by xi'an

[Quotes from J.D. Vance’s speech at the Munich Security Conference, on 14 Feb 2025, a perfect Orwellian achievement in newspeak!]

“It looks more and more like old entrenched interests hiding behind ugly Soviet era words like misinformation and disinformation, who simply don’t like the idea that somebody with an alternative viewpoint might express a different opinion, or, God forbid, vote a different way, or, even worse, win an election”

“…when we see European courts cancelling elections and senior officials threatening to cancel others, we ought to ask whether we’re holding ourselves to an appropriately high standard. (…) If your democracy can be destroyed with a few hundred thousand dollars of digital advertising from a foreign country, then it wasn’t very strong to begin with”

“There is no room for firewalls [against the far-right AfD] People dismissing voters’ concerns, shutting down their media, protects nothing. It is the most surefire way to destroy democracy.”

“I look to Brussels, where E.U. Commission commissars warn citizens that they intend to shut down social media during times of civil unrest the moment they spot what they judge to be ‘hateful content,’ or to [Germany], where police have carried out raids against citizens suspected of posting anti-feminist comments online as part of ‘combating misogyny.’”

“in Britain and across Europe, free speech, I fear, is in retreat (…) the United Kingdom backslide away from conscience rights has placed the basic liberties of religious Britons in particular in the crosshairs”

“The Scottish government has begun distributing letters to citizens whose houses lay within so-called safe access zones, warning them that even private prayer within their own homes may amount to breaking the law. The government urged readers to report any fellow citizens suspected guilty of thought crime in Britain and across Europe.”

a [counter]example of minimaxity

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , on December 14, 2022 by xi'an

A chance question on X validated made me reconsider about the minimaxity over the weekend. Consider a Geometric G(p) variate X. What is the minimax estimator of p under squared error loss ? I thought it could be obtained via (Beta) conjugate priors, but following Dyubin (1978) the minimax estimator corresponds to a prior with point masses at ¼ and 1, resulting in a constant estimator equal to ¾ everywhere, except when X=0 where it is equal to 1. The actual question used a penalised qaudratic loss, dividing the squared error by p(1-p), which penalizes very strongly errors at p=0,1, and hence suggested an estimator equal to 1 when X=0 and to 0 otherwise. This proves to be the (unique) minimax estimator. With constant risk equal to 1. This reminded me of this fantastic 1984 paper by Georges Casella and Bill Strawderman on the estimation of the normal bounded mean, where the least favourable prior is supported by two atoms if the bound is small enough. Figure 1 in the Negative Binomial extension by Morozov and Syrova (2022) exploits the same principle. (Nothing Orwellian there!) If nothing else, a nice illustration for my Bayesian decision theory course!

the best books of the NYT readers

Posted in Books, Kids, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 9, 2022 by xi'an

Two years after Le Monde reported on the list of the 101 favourite novels of [some of] its readers, which I found most fascinating as a sociological entry on said readers, rather than a meaningful ordering of literary monuments (!),  even though it led me to read Damasio’s La Horde du Contrevent, as well as Jean-Philippe Jaworski’s Gagner la Guerre [To the victors go the spoils], The New York Times did something similar to celebrate the Book Review’s 125th anniversary. If on a lesser scale, as it only produces

        1. To Kill a Mockingbird by Harper Lee
        2. The Fellowship of the Ring by J.R.R. Tolkien
        3. 1984 by George Orwell
        4. One Hundred Years of Solitude by Gabriel García Márquez
        5. Beloved by Toni Morrison

as the top five books of the last 125th years, Lee’s, Tolkien’s, and Garcia Márquez’s appearing in both lists, if with a different ranking. (The nomination rules were not exactly the same, though, with only novels for Le Monde and only “recent” books and only one per author for the New York Times.) Here is a longer list of the 25 top contenders, from which NYT readers voted [an opportunity I missed!]:

some of which I had never heard of. And not including a single Faulkner’s… Except for One Hundred Years of Solitude, first published as Cien años de soledad, all novels there were originally written in English. Sadly, the number one book, To Kill a Mockingbird, is also one of the most censored by school boards in the USA! (And so are books by Toni Morrison.)