Archive for elephant

differentially private distributed Bayesian linear regression with MCMC

Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , on August 30, 2023 by xi'an

An ICML 2023 paper by Barıs¸ Alparslan, Sinan Yıldırım¸ and Ilker Birbil that (re)addresses the issue of privacy when running a Bayesian regression analysis. Resorting to the common notion of differential privacy, imposing a limited variability if a single observation is modified, and a Gaussian randomisation of the observations.

“A differentially private algorithm constrains the difference between the probability distributions of the output values obtained from neighbouring data sets”

In the super classical setup of simple Normal linear regression, y=Xθ+σε. Summary statistics are chosen as

S=X’X and z=X’y,

(why the separation?) then randomised. (Keeping Ŝ definite positive? Not necessarily, it appear.) Inspired directly from Dwork & al. (2014). The authors still manage to spend an entire column in (re)deriving the conditional Normal distribution of z conditional on S and (θ,σ)… Which is later exploited for integrating z out in the MCMC algorithm.

“some important differences between our work and that of Bernstein & Sheldon (2019) [stem] from the choice of summary statistics and the consequent hierarchical structure used for modelling linear regression [and]lead to significant differences in the inference methods as well as significant computational advantages [O(d³) vs. O(d⁶)]”

In a distributed setting several agents are handling their own data and keep their privacy by the same mechanishttps://www.slideshare.net/xianblog/discussion-of-icml23pdfm [as in the top graph from the paper]. On principle, a Bayesian analysis of the resulting hierarchical model should directly consider the posterior on the global parameter by considering the distributions of the randomised pairs (ẑ,Ŝ). The elephant in the room is the distribution of the regressors, which is customarily unknown and not accounted for in a traditional Bayesian analysis. It is needed here due to the division in S and z, plus the randomisation step that calls for the posterior distribution of S given Ŝ. Elephant that is exfiltrated by either assuming Normality or substituting Ŝ for S without accounting for the noise! Definitely not exactly Bayesian. Another column is spent on the Metropolis-within-Gibbs simulation of the posterior…

Overall, I remain reserved about this approach, since it does not follow a clear Bayesian pathway and in particular does not incorporate privacy as part of the Bayesian decision analysis.

and it only gets worse…

Posted in Kids, pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 20, 2019 by xi'an

““This is absolutely the stupidest thing ever,” said Antar Davis, 23, a former zookeeper who showed up in the elephant house on Friday to take one last look at Maharani, a 9,100-pound Asian elephant, before the zoo closed.” The New York Times, Dec 29, 2018

“The Trump administration has stopped cooperating with UN investigators over potential human rights violations occurring inside America [and] ceased to respond to official complaints from UN special rapporteurs, the network of independent experts who act as global watchdogs on fundamental issues such as poverty, migration, freedom of expression and justice.” The Guardian, Jan 4, 2019

“I know more about drones than anybody,” he said (…) Mr. Trump took the low number [of a 16% approval in Europe] as a measure of how well he is doing in the United States. “If I were popular in Europe, I wouldn’t be doing my job.”” The New York Times, Jan 3, 2019

““Any deaths of children or others at the border are strictly the fault of the Democrats and their pathetic immigration policies that allow people to make the long trek thinking they can enter our country illegally.” The New York Times, Dec 30, 2018

the unexpected inheritance of Inspector Chopra [very short book review]

Posted in Books, Travel with tags , , , , , , on March 5, 2016 by xi'an

What can be said about this book other than it involves a detective shadowing a suspect with a baby elephant in tow and climbing an escalator in a modern commercial centre with the said elephant, the suspect being none the wisest?! Not much, really. And none of it positive!

This unexpected inheritance of Inspector Chopra is a rather shallow detective story with one-dimensional characters and not much of a plot.  The only original trait being that it takes place in Mumbai, India. But this book is not much deeper than the Bollywood movies it makes fun of. I am fairly glad I got it for half price in Coventry and read it on the way back home…

नया साल मुबारक

Posted in Mountains, Statistics with tags , , on January 1, 2013 by xi'an

wall painting, Ranthambore, Rajasthan, Dec. 28, 2012