Archive for South Africa

inside Africa [cover]

Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 25, 2025 by xi'an

at the boor, as advertised

Posted in pictures, Statistics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 8, 2024 by xi'an

the long way off a small, angry planet

Posted in Books, pictures, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , on November 13, 2023 by xi'an

(im)possible lottery outcome

Posted in Kids, Statistics with tags , , , on December 27, 2020 by xi'an

Another outcry after an “impossible” lottery result that “must” be fraudulous! Obtaining the sequence 5,6,7,8,9,10 on the Tuesday December 1, 2020, draw of the Souht-African Powerball is indeed a low probability event. Just like obtaining any fixed sequence on a specific day for a specific lottery system. As I am unsure the last number has to differ from the others or not, consider the approximation where the 6 numbers are drawn uniformly without replacement from the first fifty integers. The number of outcomes is then approximately 16 millions, making any fixed outcome having a chance of 6 10⁻⁸ of happening for one draw. However, the psychological impact of an “impossible” lottery result would have been the same for any sequence of 6 consecutive numbers, which makes the event happening with a probability of approximately one chance in 400,000. Not so staggering then! And considering the repetition of lotteries, space- and time-wise, it takes roughly 40,000 draws for a consecutive sequence to be drawn with probability 10%. Which means 16 years if considering each US State having a draw every week…

Rooibos tax for aboriginal communities

Posted in Books, pictures, Travel, Wines with tags , , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2020 by xi'an

Just read in the 150th anniversary issue of Nature that the South African Government had agreed to a share of the rooibos tea profits be reversed to the aboriginal San and Khoi communities. Following a lengthy debate on whether or not rooibos tea was in use before European settlers invaded the area. I cannot remember when I started drinking rooibos but it may have been connected with reading my first book of the delicious Mma Ramotswe and the №1 Ladies Detective Agency series…! Which author, Alexander McCall Smith is a self-declared tea addict. (Since the story is located in Botswana, I have no idea whether or not tea is exported from this country and if the benefits reach the local communities.)