Archive for Cold Case

a journal of the cha(ca)os (and fig) year

Posted in Books, Kids, Mountains, pictures, Travel, Wines with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 1, 2025 by xi'an

 Read the last part of The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet by David Mitchell, which still  takes place in the early 1800’s at the Dutch East India Company trading post Dejima in Nagasaki, as the historical aspects—like the attempt by a British ship to take over the outpost—beat the weakest features of the story. The end does feel rushed.

I made my first attempt at a chocolate tablet by mixing the cocoa—cacao in French—paste (kako in Créole) I brought back from Guadeloupe—made from the cocoa seeds I had bought at the market, roasting and crushing them—with crushed biscuits and a tiny bit of butter. The result was keeping with the bitter chocolate flavour I enjoy in 100% cocoa tablets, if presumably richer in fat and sugar, and more on the chocolate biscuit side! As the fig tree is now delivering at full speed, I am making compotes and office deliveries on most days, along with picking great tomatoes (which survived the heat waves) and the second chili pepper that grew from the chili tree this summer—sadly so low on the Scoville scale that it didn’t much differ from the peppers that also grew there—. In a bountiful year, the only failure was the buckwheat attempt, since no single flower came to deliver. Expert advice is thus sought for next year! This did not prevent me from resuming cooking whey (from skyr) and buckwheat, rye, or chestnut crêpes (on the Amazon iron griddle that no longer sticks!).

Watched and enjoyed the series Dept. Q, a gritty, depressing, and engrossing detective story that mixes cold cases, domestic violence, PTSD, sexism, several levels of guilt, and a variety of Scottish accents, from Edinburgh to the Western Isles. Despite the captivity thread in the scenario that I always dislike as a weak option in this kind of story, albeit making more sense as the episodes unfold. The grey areas surrounding most characters keeps the series at quite an acceptable level of engagement, as does the range of personalities thus displayed. This includes most victims that could have fallen into the poor-dear trap, but remain ambiguous and equally guilty to maintain the balance. Looking forward new seasons (not in the Scottish sense, where most days usually cover all four of them!). Also watched the second season of Wednesday, enjoyable enough if on the light and repetitive side. With Jenna Ortega still running the show, along with a stronger presence of Catherine Zeta-Jones. Just missing the Cramps moment of Season 1!

a journal of the COVID²⁵ year

Posted in Books, Statistics, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 14, 2025 by xi'an

 Last week, I got COVID for the very first (detected) time! Although it took a while to realise this was COVID and not the common cold. It started with an overnight runny nose that I attributed to swimming outside the previous and cool morn, a minor temperature shock compared with the previous week in Guadeloupe. And did not spot the unusually high heart rate that night… The next afternoon, I was feeling a bit feverish (with no fever!) and definitely tired, but again attributed the feeling to faster bike rides to and from Paris Dauphine and the after-effect of Caribean jetlag. I then had a very long night and definitely felt okay the morning after (with nightly heart rate back to normal). It is only when my wife starting showing the same symptoms that I suspected more than a common cold. With confirmation from a COVID test two days later. By then I had unfortunately contaminated a few other people,  all of whom recovered reasonably fast (phew!). I have since taken back to wear a face mask in any close encounter and warned my students. I wonder if I got it in the plane back or at Dauphine on the opening day. Definitely planning the continuation of my yearly vaccine next November!!!

a journal of the chaos year

Posted in Books, Kids, Mountains, pictures, Travel, Wines with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 31, 2025 by xi'an

Read (in French) Rare flavors, written by Ram V and drawn by Filipe Andrade, a fabulous BD on Indian cuisine(s)!, albeit biased towards North-West India! After reading a raving review in the weekend edition of Le Monde. While it is hard to classify it as a cooking book (with only six recipes, incl. masala chai and dahl), the celebration of Indian cooking and the humour of the story make it a great book. And, who knows, I may try cooking the lamb raan one of these days.

Speaking of which, I made plenty of new dishes since the beginning of the year, including the Aubrac (Central France) aligot, a mix of mashed potatoes and fresh tomme de Laguiole, a (delayed Xmas) full-Indian dinner with chicken korma, lamb biryani, coconut dahl, and okra curry, with fresh chapatis. Tried to make brunost from whey (leftover from skyr making!) but it did not work well. While brown, it tasted rather sour, maybe for being overly reduced.

Watched early episodes of a Japanese cold case series, Okura (オクラ), that is very light on the scenario and rather poor on the acting

Another coincidence in lotteries

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , on January 10, 2011 by xi'an

Here is a lottery story that appeared in the LA Times (and in numerous other journals and news reports):

On the television show Lost, the character Hugo “Hurley” Reyes played the numbers 4, 8, 15, 16, 23 and 42 and ended up winning the $114-million jackpot. In real life, the lotto’s selections for its $355-million prize — 4, 8, 15, 25, 47 and the crucial “Mega ball,” 42 — included four of Hurley’s numbers. According to the Mega Millions website, which reported receiving “unprecedented traffic” after the drawing, 41,763 people matched those four numbers, earning $150 apiece.

Matching at least four numbers out of six is not that unlikely. Assuming there are 48 possible numbers in the lottery, and not bothering about specifics for this lottery like “Mega ball” and specific order, a basic probability computation for this match is

{6\choose 4}{44\choose 2}/{48\choose 6}=0.001156,

that is a 1‰ chance when taking this lottery and this sequence of numbers in isolation. This probability does not account for the parallel and subsequent runs of many other lotteries where many players will have undoubtedly used those “lucky” numbers, since they seem to have been around for several years, nor for the fact that other series have also proposed lottery numbers (just a few weeks ago my daughter was watching an episode of the series Cold Case which involved a lottery draw).