Archive for Gibbs measure

BayesComp 2025.2

Posted in Kids, pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on June 19, 2025 by xi'an


The main BayesComp²⁵ conference started with Pierre Jacob’s plenary talk on his recent advances on coupling for unbiased MCMC—currently ERC grantee on that topic—.  Raising lazy questions like using a different target or transition kernel for the second chain in the coupling, connecting the Poisson equation and control variates, handling the signed issue with the unbiased approximations. Interestingly, they obtain an unbiased estimator of the asymptotic variance of the unbiased estimator. And a correction for self-normalised importance sampling, which has some connections with our 1996 (?) pinball sampler. Also an evaluation of the median of means, rather than the average of means, which is a thing I had been (lazily) contemplating for a while  (On the greedy side, as I was writing my recovery exam for my Monte Carlo course, I realised the results Pierre presented could be somewhat recycled into exam problems!)

My first parallel session was on gradient-based methods with a talk by Francesca Crucinio on proximal particle Langevin algorithms (similar to the one she gave in PariSanté last year), a talk by Zhihao Wang on stereographic multiple try Metropolis(-Rosenbluth-Teller) that unsurprisingly recovers ergodicity thanks to the compactness of the ball. For which I wonder why a Normal proposal makes complete sense since one could consider a mover after the projection instead and why iid rather than repelling multiple proposals are used… The last speaker was just out from the plane from California, Siddharth Vishwanath who spoke about repelling-attracting HMC. With very nice animations of HMC, if reaching the main point of using both negative and positive frictions a few minutes before the session finished. The method preserves volume and potential, if not energy.

Speaking of which (energy), I find myself struggling with my less than 6 hours of sleep since arrival during the first afternoon session, despite a fiery hot spot lunch, which means in plainer terms that I alas dozed in and out of the talks. The second session saw Jack Jewson exposing in deeper details the exact PDMP algorithm for Gibbs measures  Jeremias Knoblauch mentioned yesterday. And Jonathan Huggins as well, using Gaussian processes as proxies for expected likelihoods, with lower guarantees than pseudo-marginal versions. In a mildly connected way, Robin Ryder went through the resolution of the ecological inference challenge they produce with Nicolas Chopin and Théo Valdoire (all authors with whom I am connected, Théo being a brillant student of our MASH Master last year and now in Harvard, hopefully till the end of his PhD!)

On the extra-academic curriculum, I had a yummy dinner in the Maxwell Hawker (street) food centre, incl. Xiao Long Bao that cooled down fast enough to avoid the usual scalding effect, plus rojak a mixed fruit and vegetable fried in a peanut sauce that I had never tasted before, popiah (ditto), chili noodles, and an appam with durian deepfried balls as a fabulous and unexpected dessert.

JSM 2024, Portland, Day 3

Posted in pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 9, 2024 by xi'an

Bayesian contributed session as the first round of the third day (with a choice of five parallel sessions featuring Bayesian topics!!, actually easier to pick than among the following eight parallel sessions of the 10:30 schedule!!!), with a talk by Tahir Ekin on adversarial outlier detection that could connect with our Oceaner(c) privacy concerns. Then one involving spike & slab (a theme to figure prominently in this special day!!) in mixed response models by Sameer Deshpande, seeking a (unBayesian!) MAP for a latent variable model by Monte Carlo EM. Followed by a talk by Yunyi Shen on completely random measures for estimating the (distribution of the) number of species in heterogeneous populations. Next, Valentin Zulj on (frequentist rather than) Bayesian stacking, on estimating optimal weights for model averaging (which should be posterior probabilities in a pure Bayesian mindframe), including a score function that could lead to generalised Bayesian inference on said weights. Finishing with a talk by Chaegeun Song on correcting Bayesian credible sets towards (frequentist, again!!!) exact coverage for classification (which reminded me of my very first paper with George on correcting frequentist confidence for Binomial observations). With which I could not really engage as seeking a specific coverage level did not seem relevant, imho, but I appreciated the wheel plot representation.My second morn session was about modern (what else?!) sampling algorithms, although I spent the first dozen minutes wondering whether or not I had entered the wrong room. Until Tianhao Wang focussed on Thompson sampling for bandits. It did prove far enough from my interest for my (sleep deprived) attention to drift too quickly. Only the talk by Yuchen Wu on a spike & slab (as suits the day!) challenge captured enough this wandering attention. Crossing further into my realm of primary topics by considering a target distribution that is a product of distributions. But I did not get from her presentation how a product measure decomposition was inducing higher efficiency (and did not find answers within the arXived preprint). Unless it exploited specific features of the target, like conditional independence between the components. The last talk was by Brice Huang on sampling low temperature Gibbs measures using stochastic localisation.

After coming upon a row of food trucks across the conference centre and being unfairly attracted by an Ethiopian injera picture into a terrible wrap, I returned for the Skeptical about AI session, just a few minutes late, only to find accessing the session was impossible! Quite sad to miss the presentations and the arguments (even though I had heard a previous talk by Genevera Allen when visiting Rutgers two years ago). As a second best, I then joined the recent (of course!) Advances in Bayesian Computation (aka ABC?!) session with a medley of topics, including a data subset versus data sketching model reduction by Sudipto Saha. Which could have consequences on our privacy strategies. And marginal evidence estimation for the Bayesian Lasso by Christopher Hans while avoiding data completion. And another latent variable model with a sequential variational Bayes approach by Bao Anh Vu, using at one point Cappé et al. (2005) EM-based approximation to the log likelihood gradient. Finishing by a back-to-the-future talk by Luke Duttweiler on MCMC convergence diagnostics. Comparing several chains via proximity maps that themselves require some preliminary knowledge about the MCMC kernel. (Nice title though, “the traceplot thickens”!)The crux of the day was however the 2024 COPSS Award ceremony with several friends featuring among the recipients, Danielle Durante for the Emerging Leaders Award, Regina Liu for the Elizabeth L. Scott Award and Veronika Rockova for the Presidents’ Award. Congrats!!!