The astronomer and cosmologist Karim Benabed got killed on Wednesday in Paris. While cycling, run over by a truck-driver (with no further details at the moment). He was a senior research at IAP (Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris) and we actively collaborated together between 2005 and 2010 on an ANR project on efficient simulation methods for inferring cosmological parameters, based on PMC. And Bayesian model comparison. He was a very congenial person, very sharp in assimilating new methods and keen on exploring novel hypotheses. While we did not keep closely in touch, I would meet him now and then while visiting the IAP. Ironically, Darren Wraith, formerly a postdoc with him at IAP, was visiting me last week and we were reminiscing of that era as late as Saturday night over dinner… So sad (and also so absurd, a truck stopping the trajectory of someone managing to travel to the origins of the Universe). The above is a cartoon of him drawn during his cosmic microwave background presentation during the Nuit de l’Astronomie.
Archive for CMB
Karim Benabed, astrophysician
Posted in Statistics, Travel, University life with tags ABC, adaptive importance sampling, ANR, astronomy, Bayesian inference, Bayesian model comparison, CMB, cosmology, cycling, dark energy, evidence, gravitational lensing, IAP, Institut d'Astrophysique de Paris, Nuit de l'Astronomie, Planck experiment, PMC, population Monte Carlo, traffic accident on December 5, 2025 by xi'anto the early Universe and back
Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags ABC, Bayesian inference, BOLFI, CMB, cosmology, cosmoPMC, cosmostats, dark matter, Guy Gavriel Kay, habilitation, IAP, Institut d'Astrophysique de Paris, J.R. Tolkien, likelihood-free, likelihood-free inference, model misspecification, Observatoire de Paris, Pierre Simon Laplace, SELFI, Simbelmynë on November 16, 2025 by xi'an
On 28 October, I spent the day at Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris (where I used to work on PMC for cosmology between 2005 and 2009), as a committee member for the habilitation defence of Florent Leclercq. Not only it was nice to be back in this unique institution (with vestiges from Laplace’s era), but this was a fantastic habilitation, with a superb thesis that beautifully gathered the different fields mastered by the candidate in a highly coherent discourse. And could serve as an introduction to cosmostatistics for many.

And provided the background to ten years (post-PhD) of research on forward modelling in cosmology and resulting Bayesian statistical analysis either by implicit likelihood (or likelihood-free) inference or by field-level inference. He describes the Simbelmynë software he developed to produce maps of the density field and analyse dark matter dynamics. Ẁhose name is borrowed from Tolkien (along with a quote from Guy Gavriel Kay!):
“How fair are the bright eyes in the grass! Evermind they are called, simbelmynë in this land of Men, for they blossom in all the seasons of the year, and grow where dead men rest.” — J.R.R. Tolkien, The Lord of the Ring
And the Bayesian computational and modelling tools he elaborated, like SELFI (Simulator expansion for likelihood-free inference, Leclercq et al., 2019), that relates to Michael Gutmann’s and Juka Corander’s BOLFI. (Obviously, I did not get every aspect right from just reading the thesis and attending the lecture, in particular the remarks on using SELFI to assess model misspecification. But I remain impressed by the scope of the work and its likely impact on the field!)
sweet 60’s
Posted in Kids, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags Édouard-Léon Scott de Martinville, celebrations, CMB, cosmic microwave background, Eric Moulines, FIFA, football World Cup, group picture, IHP, Institut Henri Poincaré, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, NeurIPS 2021, NYT, Paris, recording, The New York Times, Thomas Edison, Zeitschrift on October 9, 2023 by xi'an
The traditional group picture at the end of Eric Moulines’ 60th anniversary celebration, at IHP, Paris. Some of the participants had already left (and I am carefully hidding in the background). Among the celebrating talks reflecting the huge thematic diversity of EM’s carreer, Patrick Flandrin gave a great historical account of a certain Édouard-Léon Scott de Martinville and his invention of a sound recording device that did not meet with the same success as the later phonograph by Edison. A song he had registered in 1860 was retrieved in 2008 by a team of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, making it the earliest known intelligible voice recording in existence! Jean-François Cardoso explained how the team at Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris produced a near optimal estimate of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) by linear projections preserving normality. Sara Filippi exposed a variational Bayes approach to selecting groups of variables in a GLM. Gareth Roberts illustrated retrospective sampling with his recent foray with Jeff Rosenthal in the lack of uniformity in the FIFA World Cup draws. Anatoli Iouditski spoke about a recent work on polyhedral estimation in statistical linear inverse problems. And Elisabeth Gassiat strolled through recent works on inference for hidden Markov models, including one at NeurIPS 2021 with Aapo Hyvärinen and others on nonlinear ICA. This was quite a fun meeting, with plenty of anecdotes and a few older pictures (even though I could not find any prior to 2005, which may have been the year I bought my first digital camera!)
nested sampling: any prior anytime?!
Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, Travel with tags arXiv, Bayesian Methods in Cosmology, CMB, IAP, improper priors, inverse cdf, ΛCDM model, MNRAS, nested sampling, normalising flow, Planck Collaboration, prior modelling, simulation on March 26, 2021 by xi'an
A recent arXival by Justin Alsing and Will Handley on “nested sampling with any prior you like” caught my attention. If only because I was under the impression that some priors would not agree with nested sampling. Especially those putting positive weight on some fixed levels of the likelihood function, as well as improper priors.
“…nested sampling has largely only been practical for a somewhat restrictive class of priors, which have a readily available representation as a transform from the unit hyper-cube.”
Reading from the paper, it seems that the whole point is to demonstrate that “any proper prior may be transformed onto the unit hypercube via a bijective transformation.” Which seems rather straightforward if the transform is not otherwise constrained: use a logit transform in every direction. The paper gets instead into the rather fashionable direction of normalising flows as density representations. (Which suddenly reminded me of the PhD dissertation of Rob Cornish at Oxford, which I examined last year. Even though nested was not used there in the same understanding.) The purpose appearing later (in the paper) or in fine to express a random variable simulated from the prior as the (generative) transform of a Uniform variate, f(U). Resuscitating the simulation from an arbitrary distribution from first principles.
“One particularly common scenario where this arises is when one wants to use the (sampled) posterior from one experiment as the prior for another”
But I remained uncertain at the requirement for this representation in implementing nested sampling as I do not see how it helps in bypassing the hurdles of simulating from the prior constrained by increasing levels of the likelihood function. It would be helpful to construct normalising flows adapted to the truncated priors but I did not see anything related to this version in the paper.
The cosmological application therein deals with the incorporation of recent measurements in the study of the ΛCDM cosmological model, that is, more recent that the CMB Planck dataset we played with 15 years ago. (Time flies, even if an expanding Universe!) Namely, the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey and the SH0ES collaboration.
a bad graph about Hubble discrepancies
Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags bad graph, CMB, cosmology, Hubble constant, Nature Reviews Physics on September 23, 2020 by xi'anHere is a picture seen in a Nature Reviews Physics paper I came across, on the Hubble constant being consistently estimated as large now than previously. I have no informed comment to make on the paper, which thinks that these discrepancies support altering the composition of the Universe shortly before the emergence of the Cosmological Background Noise (CMB), but the way it presented the confidence assessments of the same constant H⁰ based on 13 different experiments is rather ghastly, from using inclined confidence intervals, to adding a USA Today touch to the graph via a broken bridge and a river below, to resorting to different scales for both parts of the bridge…

