Archive for spams

PM Modi sent me an email!

Posted in pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 29, 2025 by xi'an

[I received this email from (or “from”) Modi, just before Diwali or Deepavali, the Hindu festival of lights, to my amazement. When checking the source of the email, I found that this was sent by the Indian Railways (IRCTC) consumer services, with which I had registered in order to buy train tickets on several trips in India. While IRCTCT is a public company, sending such messages from the Prime Minister sounds like an abuse of customer privacy. Especially with religious contents that clash with the (admittedly very limited) secularism of the Constitution.]

Dear Christian Ji,
I extend my heartfelt greetings to all of you on the auspicious occasion of Deepavali, a festival filled with energy and enthusiasm. This is the second Deepavali after the grand construction of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya. Lord Shri Ram teaches us to uphold righteousness and also gives us the courage to fight injustice. We have seen a living example of this a few months ago during Operation Sindoor. During Operation Sindoor, Bharat not only upheld righteousness but also avenged injustice.
This Deepavali is particularly special because, for the first time, lamps will be lit in many districts across the country, including remote areas. These are the districts where Naxalism and Maoist terrorism have been eradicated from the root. In recent times, we have seen many individuals abandoning the path of violence and joining the mainstream of development, expressing faith in the Constitution of our country. This is a major achievement for the nation. In this journey of a “Viksit” (Developed) and “Aatmanirbhar Bharat” (self-reliant India), our primary responsibility as citizens is to fulfill our duties towards the nation.
Let us adopt “Swadeshi” (local products) and proudly say: “This is Swadeshi!” Let us promote the spirit of “Ek Bharat, Shreshtha Bharat”. Let us respect all languages. Let us maintain cleanliness. Let us prioritize our health. Let us reduce the use of oil in our food by 10% and embrace Yoga. All these efforts will rapidly move us towards a “Viksit Bharat”.
Deepavali also teaches us that when one lamp lights another, its light doesn’t diminish, but it grows further. With the same spirit, let us light lamps of harmony, cooperation and positivity in our society and surroundings this Deepavali.
Once again, wishing you all a very Happy Deepavali.
Yours,
Narendra Modi

mixture models [book review]

Posted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 14, 2024 by xi'an

Strangely enough, I became aware of this new book on mixtures through one of these annoying emails “Your work has been cited n times this week“… Mixture Models (Parametric, Semiparametric, and New Directions) by Weixin Yao and Sijia Wang got published by CRC Press earlier this year, within the Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability green series (#175), and covers across 380 pages most aspects of mixture (and hidden Markov) estimation, if with strong emphasis on maximum likelihood estimation, while the new directions are unsurprisingly those pursued by the authors, namely robust and semi-parametric estimation, as well as model selection by testing.

An early warning about this book review is that I co-edited a Handbook of Mixture Analysis with my friends Sylvia Früwirth-Schnatter and Gilles Celeux a few years ago. I am therefore biased in what I would have included in a new book on the topic, the more because I find the available literature already plentiful, even though the early (1984) book of Titterington et al. that was my entry to the field may have become an historical reference. For instance, Finite Mixtures by McLachlan and Peel (2000) remains relevant, with similar emphasis on maximum likelihood and the EM algorithm, while Sylvia’s Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models is still a reference to this day.

And an additional warning on me not being a massive fan of semi- and non-parametric estimation in this setting…

Preliminaries that may explain my limited enthusiasm about the book and its limited originality. Not that I found significant errors there (even though “improper priors [do not always] yield improper posteriors” [p.145] as we demonstrated in several papers), however, I had trouble with the uneven pace adopted by the authors that often skim some topics of importance while spending an inconsiderate amount of space on less relevant once. Some items get many bibliographical references, while others do not. For instance, EM receives a lion’s share (see, e..g, Sections 6.6 and 6.7). Or the 12 pages of proof in Chapter 10. Declination of sections into mixtures, mixtures of regressions, multivariate mixtures, hidden Markov models, and so on feels somewhat repetitive. This is particularly the case for the “mixture regression models” chapter.

The book also contains Bayesian entries, with a first introduction (p.105) in the discrete data chapter that precedes the short Bayesian chapter #4 (p.145), the same issue arising for related algorithms like Gibbs (p.107) that “estimate properties of the joint posterior” and MCMC (p.112). Which sort of erases the specificity of a Bayesian approach by reducing it to one item in the toolbox (with the wrong stress on MAP estimates). In this Bayesian chapter, MCMC validation is handled for discrete state spaces while applied in general spaces. The focus is mostly on relabelling for the following label switching chapter, albeit a large collection of methods are compared if not mentioned.

Handing an unknown number of components by hypothesis testing is supported in the next short chapter, although very little is said about reversible jump MCMC. And there is no general discussion on the consistency of these tests, in particular with bootstrap. Or at least on the regularity conditions they request. An puzzling paradox (p.191) is the existence of an unbounded Fisher information of an exponential mixture

\pi\mathcal Exp(1)+(1-\pi)\mathcal Exp(2)

when the weight π is the parameter (and close to 1).

High-dimensional mixtures in Chapter 8 are mostly handled by linear projections in smaller subspaces, which is natural given that they preserve the mixture structure but open a Pandora box of a wide range of proposed methods, again with little comparison available. Except in the R final section opposing several R functions on the same dataset (if unconclusively).

The semi-parametric chapters mention Dirichlet process priors, albeit briefly, but fail to relate to the recent works on using these when inferring about the number of components. Or failing to do so. There is also a very limited connection pointed out with machine learning but little can be gathered from the three page presentation (pp.308-310). These chapters also have significant overlap with the review paper of Xiang et al. (2019) in Statistical Science.

Most chapters end up with an R section, which usually reads as a quick demo of a related R package, like BayesLCA or our own mixtool. Hence not massively helpful beyond pointers to these packages. The numerical illustrations also are unevenly distributed between chapters, from nothing at all to four pages of small font tables on an MSE comparison between more or less robust approaches undertaken by Yu et al. (2020).

The above thus explains why I am not particularly excited about this bibliographical addition to the analysis of mixtures. It does offer a reference for researchers in the field by adding recent references and approaches to the existing books mentioned above, but I could not recommend it as a textbook (as suggested on p.xiii).

[Disclaimer about potential self-plagiarism: this post or an edited version may eventually appear in my Books Review section in CHANCE.]

one of our most-cited papers, really?!

Posted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 22, 2024 by xi'an

Wikileech

Posted in University life with tags , , , , , , , , on March 17, 2024 by xi'an

Another type of email hassling (or scam?), not asking for payment at this early stage for writing my Wikipedia page for me!, which is going against the rules of the platform:

My name is dah and I work with Wiki-blah, a Wikipedia page creation and management firm. In a quick Google search of your name, I discovered that you do not have a Wikipedia page.

Having a Wikipedia page shows the world that you have made remarkable contributions in your field. Moreover, it catalogues all of your important work in one place, making it easier for the reader to understand your work. Over 73% people searching for an academic on Google visit the academic’s Wikipedia page first and their official university page later. This underscores an important fact: the credibility of Wikipedia surpasses that of your official website. With over 3000 articles declined from Wikipedia everyday, it is not easy to get a Wikipedia page. However, we can make the process very easy for you. We have written Wikipedia pages for over a thousand academics. We can write one for you. For your assurance and safety, we don’t request any upfront payment.

Please send me a message if you would like to find out more about working with us.

And a second one came the day after, in a much more flowery style that omitted any mention of payment:

I trust this message finds you in great health and high spirits.

I’m dah, I am a part of a group of Wikipedia Administrators and Editors, driven by a passion for crafting impactful narratives. With over a decade of experience, our focus lies in assisting individuals and businesses like yours in establishing a lasting presence on Wikipedia, the world’s foremost information platform.

Have you ever considered having your accomplishments and contributions showcased on the influential stage of Wikipedia? I specialize in navigating the intricacies of Wikipedia’s guidelines, ensuring your story meets the stringent standards set by the platform. What sets our approach apart is the inherent resilience of entries created under the supervision of a Wikipedia Administrator – they stand stronger against scrutiny and time. We understand the unique challenges of getting pages published on Wikipedia. We have a proven track record of successfully guiding experts like yourself through the process. By collaborating, we can not only ensure the accurate portrayal of your journey but also secure its place in the annals of Wikipedia’s knowledge repository.

Understanding the complexities of Wikipedia’s communal editing and content standards can be daunting. This is where our expertise shines. As Wikipedia Administrators, we have the ability to guide your entry through the labyrinth of guidelines, maintaining the utmost standards of neutrality and credibility.
If you’re intrigued by the prospect of immortalizing your story on Wikipedia, I’m excited to explore this opportunity further. I’d be happy to share a recent success story or provide a testimonial upon your request. Feel free to reach out with any queries or curiosities you may have. Your achievements deserve a platform that resonates with millions of global readers.

I would love to discuss this opportunity further at your earliest convenience. I look forward to potentially collaborating on this remarkable journey.

email footprint

Posted in Travel, University life with tags , , , , , on September 14, 2019 by xi'an

While I was wondering (im Salzburg) at the carbon impact of sending emails with an endless cascade of the past history of exchanges and replies, I found this (rather rudimentary) assessment  that, while standard emails had an average impact of 4g, those with long attachments could cost 50g, quoting from Burners-Lee, leading to the fairly astounding figure of an evaluated impact of 1.6 kg a day or more than half a ton per year! Quite amazing when considering that a round flight Paris-Birmingham is producing 80kg. Hence justifying a posteriori my habit of removing earlier emails when replying to them. (It takes little effort to do so, especially in mailers where this feature can be set as the default option.)