Archive for École Polytechnique

mostly Monte Carlo [20/02]

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 16, 2026 by xi'an

A new episode of our mostly Monte Carlo seminar, very soon coming near you (if in Paris):

On Friday 20/02/26, from 3-5pm at PariSanté Campus

15h: Paul Mangold (École Polytechnique, Palaiseau)

Convergence and Linear Speed-Up in Stochastic Federated Learning

In federated learning, multiple users collaboratively train a machine learning model without sharing local data. To reduce communication, users perform multiple local stochastic gradient steps that are then aggregated by a central server. However, due to data heterogeneity, local training introduces bias. In this talk, I will present a novel interpretation of the Federated Averaging algorithm, establishing its convergence to a stationary distribution. By analyzing this distribution, we show that the bias consists of two components: one due to heterogeneity and another due to gradient stochasticity. I will then extend this analysis to the Scaffold algorithm, demonstrating that it effectively mitigates heterogeneity bias but not stochasticity bias. Finally, we show that both algorithms achieve linear speed-up in the number of agents, a key property in federated stochastic optimization.

16h: Alain Durmus (École Polytechnique, Palaiseau)

A Mixture-based Framework for Guiding Diffusion Models

Inverse problems—such as image restoration from noisy or incomplete measurements and musical source separation—are ill-posed, making Bayesian approaches with learned generative priors especially appealing. Diffusion models provide powerful priors, but existing posterior sampling methods often rely on crude likelihood-gradient approximations and heavy task-specific tuning. In this talk, I will introduce a novel principled approach specifically designed to overcome these limitations. The core contribution of this approach is the construction of a mixture approximation of intermediate posterior distributions defined by the diffusion model. The sampling is carried out sequentially via Gibbs sampling, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, using a careful data augmentation scheme. Gibbs sampling is employed here due to its simplicity and theoretical guarantees, allowing for exact conditional updates at each iteration, thus ensuring stability and efficiency. One key advantage of the presented algorithm is its flexibility: it adapts to varying levels of computational resources by adjusting the number of Gibbs iterations. Consequently, substantial performance gains can be achieved by increasing inference-time computational effort. I will present extensive experimental results demonstrating empirical performance across diverse image restoration tasks, involving both pixel-space and latent-space diffusion models, and showcase its successful application in musical source separation.

 

le beurre et l’argent du beurre (have your cake and eat it too)[nicht den Fünfer und das Weggli]

Posted in Books, Kids, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 21, 2025 by xi'an

A puzzling trend in French engineer school students is to contest the role of companies in their training or even the very training towards an engineering job, as illustrated by the above Le Monde article of last weekend. A former Polytechnique student has even published a book entitled Désertons, calling for deserting the job market. (Paradoxically on sale on Amazon!) These schools are indeed a French peculiarity in that they were initially created to train civil servants for the French State and later expanded to larger cohorts free to join public or private companies. They are radically distinct (and independent) from universities, in their entry mechanism (with a specific competition exam, requiring its own specific preparation public programme), in their training, and in their funding (three times higher per student and mostly issued from other ministries than the Ministry of Education, with minute fees if any). The State support extend to paying a salary to Polytechnique students during their studies, which should on principle be reimbursed when the students do not join a civil service or a public company although it is unclear if anyone has yet been asked to since 2000. (Not due to the 2000 bug!) I thus fail to get the logic of this contestation when the professional purpose of these schools is clear to everyone, when there exist alternatives in the (public) university system, and when the French State is supporting much more intensively this branch of the education system…

Hi! Paris, Hi! Xiao-Li

Posted in Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on September 27, 2025 by xi'an

Bayesian inference and conformal prediction

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 10, 2023 by xi'an

Mostly Monte Carlo Se[a]minar

Posted in Kids, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 6, 2023 by xi'an

A brand new monthly series of Parisian seminars on the theory and practice of Monte Carlo in statistics and data science, in conjunction with our ERC OCEAN project. To kick start the series the organisers, Joshua Bon and Andrea Bertazzi, first postdocs in the project, will present some of their work on Friday 13 October, 4PM – 6PM, Room 7, PariSanté Campus 2 Rue d’Oradour-sur-Glane, Paris 15. The following seminars are planned on Friday 17 November and Friday 15 December.

4pm/16h CEST: Piecewise deterministic sampling with splitting schemes

Andrea Bertazzi, CMAP – École Polytechnique

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) received substantial interest in recent years as an alternative to classical Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. While theoretical properties of PDMPs have been studied extensively, their practical implementation remains limited to specific applications in which bounds on the gradient of the negative log-target can be derived. In order to address this problem, we propose to approximate PDMPs using splitting schemes, that means simulating the deterministic dynamics and the random jumps in two different stages. We show that symmetric splittings of PDMPs are of second order. Then we focus on the Zig-Zag sampler (ZZS) and show how to remove the bias of the splitting scheme with a skew reversible Metropolis filter. Finally, we illustrate with numerical simulations the advantages of our proposed scheme over competitors.

5pm/17h CEST: Bayesian score calibration for approximate models

Joshua Bon, Ceremade – Université Paris Dauphine-PSL

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often intractable and model simulation may be computationally burdensome. Fortunately, in many of these situations, it is possible to adopt a surrogate model or approximate likelihood function. It may be convenient to base Bayesian inference directly on the surrogate, but this can result in bias and poor uncertainty quantification. In this paper we propose a new method for adjusting approximate posterior samples to reduce bias and produce more accurate uncertainty quantification. We do this by optimizing a transform of the approximate posterior that maximizes a scoring rule. Our approach requires only a (fixed) small number of complex model simulations and is numerically stable. We demonstrate good performance of the new method on several examples of increasing complexity.