Archive for Young statisticians

Gaussian mixture via continuous sparse regularization

Posted in Books, Mountains, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , on December 6, 2025 by xi'an

There were several talks and posters in Aussois involving mixtures, incl. one by Romane Giard on a proposal recently posted on arXiv. The mixture is made of multivariate Gaussian components with unknown but diagonal covariance matrices. The number s of components is unknown as well. The estimation approach is based on a form of LASSO that relies on a point process representation of the mixture parameters, an approach long defended by Peter Green (as summarised in his introductory chapter for our Handbook of Mixture Analysis.  Which avoids unnecessary confusions about identifiability and label switching.

The procedure of estimation is thus (B-)LASSO, meaning a data fitting (or fidelity) term comparing a kernel density estimate (seen as a Gaussian convolution) to the smoothed predicted density. Plus a sparsity term, namely a total variation norm of the point process measure. The theoretical result requires a fixed minimum on the variances and a minimum distance between the component parameter vectors. Things get a bit more complicated (for me), given that the point process measure gets replaced by a weighted, approximate, version where each component is attributed a positive weight depending on the variance parameters uk of the Gaussians, a product of (uk²+τ²)-1/4 terms (with τ a regularising parameter). Since the paper is fully focussed on theoretical properties, it does not expand on the practical derivation of the estimator, acknowledging the numerical resolution of the minimisation problem is yet unknown, with a substitute “closer to a realistic algorithmic framework” (p20).

Un Diario del Año de les Tapes

Posted in pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 29, 2025 by xi'an

On my five-day stay in Sevilla, I got reacquainted with the small streets of the old town, and those of Cadiz for a sunny if short day outing, both that share some similarity with Venice!, as long as the bank of the Guadalquivir where I sent training every early morning. (If missing the opportunity of running the Cádiz media maratón with a last-minute bib a colleague of my wife had procured, due to a lack of favourable public transportation. I was further unsure running even relaxedly a half-marathon a week before my favourite half-marathon was such a great idea.)) I also enjoyed very much the company of the young statisticians and operation researchers at 5SYSORM, including discussions with Antía Enríquez about network scale-up methods, which I had heard off previously (but wondered at the matter of over-counting), alas missing the plenary by Rosa E. Lillo, and with  Adam Olivares about modelling stochastically ordered pairs through a mixture representation (above) I was unaware off. (Also kudos to all participants for sticking to inglés while I was the only participant not fluent in español!)

Foodwise, I (over?!) sampled half-a dozen tapas bars, both in Sevilla and Cádiz, with varying returns, but came back with several great experiences and the (obvious) rule that back-street, low-key, bars, with some pensioner patrons, were to be preferred. Not much greens though, apart from a nearby farmers’ market! (Sorry for the catalán tapes, as I could not find an Andalusian word that sounded like Peste, but with a positive vibe!!!)

Unsurprisingly, I did not have much time to read, except in trains and planes, but finished Les Chaînes de Markov by Noham Selcer, whose title is more a pretence than a driving line. As the story painfully unrolls along the uninteresting couple issues of a (former) maths teacher and a French literature teacher. With artificial dialogues and an overall whining tone that gave me toothaches! There is no redeeming character in the novel, which furthermore describes rural places in Normandie in the worst possible terms. I also tried to complete reading Juice by Tom Winton, but I gave up on this post-apocalyptic story where the climate crisis does not stop radical eco-warriors to flight around the World to assassinate descendants of the powerful people who could have acted against climate change, a poor merge of Mad Max (Oz, of course!) and The Road . Very binary. It took me 50 pages to realise the story was set in the Northwestern part of Australia. And another 50 page to give up! I also started The Witcher Season 4 a few days before leaving, with a new actor William Hemsworth replacing Henry Cavill, “as charismatic as a bollard with a wig”, a season that proves a complete disaster, in part but only in part because the original story itself deteriorates at this point. I stopped early, once I reached a dreadful anime of the vampyre’s background.

luz de luna sobre Sevilla [jatp]

Posted in pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 11, 2025 by xi'an

off to Sevilla [5thSYSORM]

Posted in Kids, pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life, Wines with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 5, 2025 by xi'an

Yes III

Posted in Mountains, Statistics, University life with tags , , on October 4, 2009 by xi'an

No, I haven’t mixed my exclamation marks and my I’s on the keyboard: I am attending early this week the YES III meeting, where YES stands for Young European statisticians. The workshop is centred on Paradigms of Model Choice and is organised by Eurandom in Eindhoven, Holland. It is directed at young statisticians (mainly Ph.D. students and postdocs) who are interested in the problem of model choice and there are four short seminars of three 45 minute talks each on various aspects of model choice given by Laurie Davies, Duisburg-Essen, on approximate models and regularization, Peter Grünwald, Amsterdam, on the minimum description length principle,  Nils Hjort, Oslo on focused information criterion, and myself. I will cover my recent coverage of computational tool for Bayesian model choice and have the opportunity to expose the new results on the Dickey-Savage ratio for the first time! I am looking forward this meeting, having a fond memory of a previous Young Statisticians meeting in Ovronnaz, Switzerland a few years ago (including an epic hike with Jean-Michel Marin to the Muveran, where he took this great sunset picture of the Petit Muveran).

Ps- Another Yes!!! moment is that PNAS Editorial Board has reconsidered the decision to decline our letter, thus that the submission of our comments on Ratman et al. (June 30, 2009) has been allowed, with a further reduction of its length to 500 words and the standard provisions “Your Letter will be forwarded to the Editorial Board for consideration. The Board may decide to accept, reject, or ask for revisions to your Letter. Additionally, the Board may solicit a response from the authors. Accepted Letters will be published online only.”