Archive for budget cuts

Nature on ERC funding

Posted in Books, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on June 8, 2026 by xi'an

In four recent opinion articles, Nature questions the response of the European Research Council (ERC) to a steep increase in grant applications supported by AI tools, namely Responses to the AI grant flood must prioritize fairness as part of excellence, Prestigious European science funder scraps stricter rules after researcher backlash, Could agentic AI topple grant-funding systems?, and European funder must increase capacity to meet the ambition of scientists,

What is happening is that LLMs are making the construction and design of grant applications much easier, even improving their scientific worth in many cases. Hence seeing the number of submitted proposals rise. For instance, an 142% for EU Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions fellowships. This is getting worse with agentic AI. The funding bodies are unable to implement the various bans they set against relying on these agents. The low-tech solution of increasing the role of interviews and team assessments, while worthwhile, is not working above a certain threshold, being time-intensive (and open to many biases). A comment of 27 April 2026 suggests burning all bridges and resorting to locally designed agentic AIs to assess these proposals… As if the well-studied drawbacks of AIs and LLMs relying on black-box, biased, bibliometric, unsecured, machines would magically vanish with this new construct! The mention of post hoc human verification is also wishful thinking, considering the impact of earlier bibliometric tools such as the h-factor. (Even more recent proposals are similarly bananas.)

An editorial of 05 May 2026 claims the higher moral ground by calling for fairness and inclusivity. But with a bounded budget and an equally bounded pool of human reviewers, the protocol of evaluating an ever-growing pile of applications cannot remain the same. The ERC step of limiting how many grants researchers can apply for and how long unsuccessful candidates have to wait before they can re-apply has been rescinded under protest from some researchers. But a call of 01 May 2026 for more structural investment does not stand the test of reality. Working in an ERC panel is time-consuming, equivalent to one month of investment, and finding more willing experts is unlikely to succeed, not mentioning the rise in the ERC budget the EU Commission is not going to vote, the more (or the less!) with the rise of populist fractions in the European Parliament

Nature likes official statistics

Posted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 5, 2026 by xi'an

Nature is (rightly!) concerned about official statistics around the World and ran a feature article on the topic in its issue of 12 March 2026. It stresses the multiple reasons for supporting a sound, independent, trustworthy national statistic office. The article explores the issues with four national statistic bureaux, for the US, the UK, India, and Argentina. (As my whole career has been associated with the French official statistics institute, INSEE, first as a student, then as a researcher, I would have liked to hear some external views on this institute, albei methinks the situation is not as dire here, despite a permanent reduction in staff over the past decade, to the point the landmark INSEE building in Malakoff has now been dismantled.)

The issue with the US system is predictably mixing political interference à la Trump and budget cuts again à la Trump. Referring to a 2025 ASA report. Longitudinal surveys have been terminated after running 30 years. While preserving its famous independence, the UK Office for National Statistics is facing mistrust from the public that in turn reduces the reliability of its labour survey, with a response rate of 13% in 2023! The UK Government has responded by creating a  National Statistician…. Concerning India, well-known for its love of official statistics, the concern is again with the government interventions against NSC, and Argentina suffers from the same woes, Milei refusing an update of the way inflation is calculated by the national institute NDEC, leading to the departure of the current director (whose remote predecessor was put on trial by an earlier government!)

“Decisions based on incomplete or incorrect knowledge are invariably bad, even harmful. That is why the statistics that governments collect need to be as accurate and as verifiable as possible.”

In what appears (now?) as a common trend in Nature, a tribune on the same topic appeared in the following edition of 19 March 2026. With the call to “fix surveys”, in part battered by systemic underfunding and sapped by low answer rates. And the somewhat paradoxical complaint that private philanthropies like the Gates Foundation is supporting less worldwide surveys like the Demographic and Health Survey Program, which should be the responsibility of governments.