Archive for train travel

BayesComp 2025.1

Posted in Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on June 18, 2025 by xi'an

Minus one day at BayesComp 2025! As I am attending the model misspecification satellite workshop (ten minutes late, due to repeated path finding protocol!), with an extended presentation by Jeremias Knoblauch on post-Bayesian inference, incl. powered likelihood and Gibbs posteriors. A very smooth and pedagogical presentation, esp. in the hybrid mode. A perspective I associate with the difficulties of making sense of the post-posterior, not truly a posterior, of calibrating the penalty (eg λ), picking the loss (α, β, γ divergences?) , and the drift towards learning goals since the new measure is the post-posterior predictive. Sort of paradoxical return to a Gaussian post-posterior on the parameter that does not seem to stay robust. Horrendous computational issues, when the loss itself is an integral. Use of the zig-zag sampler with an estimated unbiased gradient of the loss, much faster than pseudo-marginal, which (naïvely?) makes sense both because PDMPs directly use scores and because of the power of stochastic gradient methods. Worse perspectives for optimisation-centric posterior that are essentially vamped versions of GANs. For instance, what is the meaning of the coverage probabilities?

The second talk by Jonathan Huggins was on DC (not bagged) posteriors as martingale posteriors with m<∞ (approximating marginal distributions with random kernel MCMC—which persists in simulating the marginalised or integrated variable u from its prior, rather than adapting to the current value of the parameter θ— or subsampling MCMC akin to stochastic gradient Langevin) with connection with cut posteriors,

Then I skipped to the second workshop on Bayesian methods for distributional and semiparametric regression, to listen to my friend David Rossell’s talk on local variable selection. Which suffers more than in standard models under misspecification. Another talk involving cut posteriors, the cuts being on the spline bases…

The day and the workshop concluded with great talks by (my friends) Pierre Alquier and David Frazier. David centred his misspecification talk on cut posteriors. Managing to bring in shrinkage estimators (and mention Bill Strawderman!).

A wee stressful trip, since the races in Caen cancelled all buses and delayed the taxi enough to miss the train to Paris by 30s, catching the next available one leaving me less than one hour between the arrival of the train (delayed by construction work on the rail line) and boarding the flight at Charles de Gaulle airport, but fortunately the RER trains in Paris were running okay, there were no queues in the airport, and I thus made it in time with a bit of post-marathon jogging! (Only to be delayed at departure by one hour for stormy conditions over Germany and Austria). All this exercise proved helpful to sleep soundly and lengthily in the plane!

off to Montpellier

Posted in pictures, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 3, 2024 by xi'an

travel woes

Posted in Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 29, 2024 by xi'an

On my last trip to Warwick, the local (RER) train I boarded broke on its way to the CDG airport, after hitting something in a tunnel just three stops short of the airport, with so much delay and misleading communication that I missed my flight. While a minor issue for me, since I managed to work (and blog) in an airport lounge for most of the day—where I crossed path with Numerobis—, while waiting for the only flight to B’ham, this made me to reflect anew on the very poor state of the transportation network in Paris and its suburbs, with such incidents (power failures, broken rails, vetust engines, stolen cables, idiots on the tracks, &tc., even without mentioning the strikes) more and more the norm. And to wonder at how the ancient and bursting network is going to cope with the incoming flow of visitors attending the Olympics this summer… Actually, when compared with the other cities with a fairly reasonably efficient airport connection I experienced, it remains a mystery to me why the Greater Paris conurbation—whose president, Valérie Pécresse, was apparently deemed the main culprit for our train break by an incensed fellow passenger that morning!—has kept for years postponing the construction of a dedicated rail line between the airport and central Paris, as the unpredictable and uncomfortable suburban train is not delivering the intended message to Paris visitors and their still-growing contribution to the French GNP. But with the growing public opposition to any new infrastructure, incl. trains, this is unlikely to happen!

a passage to & from India

Posted in pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 10, 2023 by xi'an

Our trip from Paris (CDG) to Bengaluru got a wee bit (!) perturbed by 2x bad luck, with a first plane grounded for damages to a wing and a second plane flashing an alarm signal just as it was accelerating to take off, which induced an extra hour of tests, plus an unexpected long wait to get the e-visa at the Bengalore airport, resulting in an arrival in town at 5:30 am! A good thing that my talk was only the next day.

I was glad to be back at the (Tata) Indian Institute of Science and its wonderful campus for the IISA meeting (taking place alternately in India and in the US). The conference program was rich and with a large Bayesian component, but being sleep deprived and slightly sick did not help with my concentration during the talks… Had however nice discussions during the poster session, including one on a most unusual RJMCMC where the model-to-model transform was the identity. In a sense this voided (?) the need for RJMCMC, but it allowed for a fast & valid exploration of the different models.

Quite a contrast in my local lodging conditions, when compared with my previous visit,  since, rather than staying in the ideal visitors’ lodge located at the centre of the campus, I took the (bargain) offer (from IISA) of the nearby Sheraton (!) as the conference hotel with five star conditions, including a proper, outside, empty and non-heated swimming pool.

The (touristy) train trip to Mysore was most pleasant, on an air-conditioned carriage with food vendors proposing their wares all along the journey, great views of the countryside and an arrival sharp on time. The reverse trip to the airport was less successful as the FlyBus we took was crawling rather than flying, with heavy traffic all the way because/despite being New Year Eve’ning.  At some point, a truck carrying what looked like kindling was stuck in a pothole, blocking the highway, and a crane was brought on site to push the truck out of the hole, a strategy that surprisingly worked. But we managed to reach the airport just before midnight, when absolutely nothing happened in relation with the entry into 2023!

eurostar static

Posted in Kids, pictures, Running, Travel with tags , , , , , , on December 10, 2022 by xi'an

It was most refreshing to hear the (very quiet) conversation of an Australian family sitting in the Eurostar to Paris across me, after being submitted, while waiting to board the train, to an horrid phone conversation of a father (?!) with his teenage child trying to be excused from a math test the same afternoon. (The  level of the insults launched at the child would have qualified as child abuse. And cannot be printed here!)

[After entering the very first tunnel, a few minutes after departure] Are we entering France now?

[While still in England] Are we going to see the sea?

[Once in Northern France, crossing the wheat fields of Le Nord] This is very green, but where is the cattle?