Archive for incomplete data

inference with insufficient statistics #2

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics with tags , , , , , , , on December 28, 2023 by xi'an

Another X validated question of some interest: how to infer about the parameters of a model when only given a fraction 1-α of the order statistics. For instance, the (1-α)n largest observations. On a primary level, the answer is somewhat obvious since the joint density of these observations is available in closed form. At another level, it brings out the fact that the distribution of the unobserved part of the sample given the observed one only depends on the smallest observed order statistic ς (which is thus sufficient in that sense) and ends up being the original distribution truncated at ς, which allows for a closed form EM implementation. Which is also interesting given that the moments of a Normal order statistic are not available in closed form. This reminded me of the insufficient Gibbs paper we wrote with Antoine and Robin a few months ago, except for the available likelihood. And provided fodder for the final exam of my introductory mathematical statistics course at Paris Dauphine.

Le Monde puzzle [#907]

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , on September 18, 2015 by xi'an

A combinatorics (?) Le Monde mathematical puzzle:

Each day of 2014, more than half of the 365 Paris métro drivers are at work. What is the minimal number of drivers one should consider to be sure to include at least a driver for each day of the year?

I may be missing an item of information from the puzzle: since at least 183 drivers are at work every day, if I select 183 drivers at random, there remain 182 further drivers. Even in the most extreme case where the 182 further drivers are at work every day of the year, there will be at least one of the 183 selected drivers at work every day. Conversely, if I select 182 or less drivers, one configuration is that the 183 or more remaining drivers are the ones always at work…