
Archive for Melbourne
St Kilda beach [jatp]
Posted in pictures, Running with tags Australia, jatp, Melbourne, Pacific Ocean, palm trees, sea, St Kilda, sunset on November 30, 2023 by xi'an
2023 Workshop in honour of Professors Donald Poskitt and Gael Martin
Posted in Statistics, University life with tags ABC, Approximate Bayesian computation, approximate Bayesian inference, Australia, Bayesian asymptotics, conference, econometrics, jetlag, Melbourne, Monash University, plenary speaker, Victoria, workshop on November 29, 2023 by xi'anoff to St. Kilda
Posted in pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life, Wines with tags Australia, Bayesian Nonparametrics Networking Workshop 2023, BNP, conference, Hobsons Bay, Melbourne, Monash Business School, Monash University, Outer Hebrides, Pacific Ocean, Phillip Island, Singapore, St Kilda, Uist, Victoria on November 27, 2023 by xi'an
a genuine riddle
Posted in Books, Kids, pictures with tags Aboriginal art, FiveThirtyEight, logic, Melbourne, The Riddler, urn models on August 5, 2022 by xi'an
A riddle from The Riddler that was pure (if straightforward) logic rather than brute force compulation or mathematical modelling:
Four bags of many marbles are labelled R(ed), B(lue), G(green) and μ (mixed), except that all labels are wrong. Given the possibility to draw two balls, one at a time, from any bag, is it possible to select two monochromatic bags?
Bag μ draw is returning a color, R say, as it is a monochromatic bag. Drawing from another color bag, B say, will produce R or B, in which case it is μ, i.e., mixed (polychromatic), which means the other bags are monochromatic, or G. For this last case, bag B is either polychromatic, in which case bag G is made of blue marbles and bag R of green marbles, or monochromatic, in which case bag G is mixed and bag R is full of blue marbles, but monochromatic for either situation, hence to be chosen on top of bag μ.

