Archive for open water swimming

JSM 2024, Portland, miniday 4

Posted in Books, pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 11, 2024 by xi'an

Final (half)day at JSM is always a sad thing as most people have left, people are busy dismantling booths and packing boxes, and the few remaining participants are fidgety and sitting on their suitcases (there may have been more suitcases than people in the main area that day!), cafés are minimally staffed or simply closed. Hence not the best time-slot to deliver one’s talk! Still, a few dozen people attended our session. The session topic was Bridge the Gap: Differential Privacy and Statistical Analysis, organised by Bei Jiang whom I met last summer in Kelowna, at a BIRS workshop on privacy. Where I spoke on setting up a complete decision-theoretic framework, as developed (and still in development) within our Ocean group, esp. Joshua Bon, Stan du Ché, and Judith Rousseau. (Rather than on the original plan of talking about convergence versus privacy, as a criticism of differential privacy.) The other talks were by Shurong Li, strongly set with differential privacy when record linkage is present, and Xuan Bi on a fully decentralised federated learning with local exchanges of global gradients that limit privacy leaks. (With a mention of gossip learning I hadn’t seen previously!)

I enjoyed even more the session due to Naisyin Wang giving a discussion on the three talks, in  closes the particular because I had not seen her in years, if a few times since she was my teaching assistant in Cornell in a Bayesian decision theory class I was building on the spot (with Linda Zhao as a student!). Which nicely closes the loop given the topic of my talk, of which she was quite supportive! While calling for debiasing post-processing and wondering about a two-dimensional decision theoretic perspective rather than a unidimensional one under hard privacy constraints.

On the way out, after parting from the few friends remaining in the convention centre, I spotted the nearby (steel) bridge being raised, although I could not see the boat responsible for it. I had been unaware of this possibility while running over and under it, as well as swimming thrice under it. And we left Portland in the early afternoon, heading for Seattle and a celebration of Adrian Raftery’s career.

JSM 2024, Portland, Day 3

Posted in pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 9, 2024 by xi'an

Bayesian contributed session as the first round of the third day (with a choice of five parallel sessions featuring Bayesian topics!!, actually easier to pick than among the following eight parallel sessions of the 10:30 schedule!!!), with a talk by Tahir Ekin on adversarial outlier detection that could connect with our Oceaner(c) privacy concerns. Then one involving spike & slab (a theme to figure prominently in this special day!!) in mixed response models by Sameer Deshpande, seeking a (unBayesian!) MAP for a latent variable model by Monte Carlo EM. Followed by a talk by Yunyi Shen on completely random measures for estimating the (distribution of the) number of species in heterogeneous populations. Next, Valentin Zulj on (frequentist rather than) Bayesian stacking, on estimating optimal weights for model averaging (which should be posterior probabilities in a pure Bayesian mindframe), including a score function that could lead to generalised Bayesian inference on said weights. Finishing with a talk by Chaegeun Song on correcting Bayesian credible sets towards (frequentist, again!!!) exact coverage for classification (which reminded me of my very first paper with George on correcting frequentist confidence for Binomial observations). With which I could not really engage as seeking a specific coverage level did not seem relevant, imho, but I appreciated the wheel plot representation.My second morn session was about modern (what else?!) sampling algorithms, although I spent the first dozen minutes wondering whether or not I had entered the wrong room. Until Tianhao Wang focussed on Thompson sampling for bandits. It did prove far enough from my interest for my (sleep deprived) attention to drift too quickly. Only the talk by Yuchen Wu on a spike & slab (as suits the day!) challenge captured enough this wandering attention. Crossing further into my realm of primary topics by considering a target distribution that is a product of distributions. But I did not get from her presentation how a product measure decomposition was inducing higher efficiency (and did not find answers within the arXived preprint). Unless it exploited specific features of the target, like conditional independence between the components. The last talk was by Brice Huang on sampling low temperature Gibbs measures using stochastic localisation.

After coming upon a row of food trucks across the conference centre and being unfairly attracted by an Ethiopian injera picture into a terrible wrap, I returned for the Skeptical about AI session, just a few minutes late, only to find accessing the session was impossible! Quite sad to miss the presentations and the arguments (even though I had heard a previous talk by Genevera Allen when visiting Rutgers two years ago). As a second best, I then joined the recent (of course!) Advances in Bayesian Computation (aka ABC?!) session with a medley of topics, including a data subset versus data sketching model reduction by Sudipto Saha. Which could have consequences on our privacy strategies. And marginal evidence estimation for the Bayesian Lasso by Christopher Hans while avoiding data completion. And another latent variable model with a sequential variational Bayes approach by Bao Anh Vu, using at one point Cappé et al. (2005) EM-based approximation to the log likelihood gradient. Finishing by a back-to-the-future talk by Luke Duttweiler on MCMC convergence diagnostics. Comparing several chains via proximity maps that themselves require some preliminary knowledge about the MCMC kernel. (Nice title though, “the traceplot thickens”!)The crux of the day was however the 2024 COPSS Award ceremony with several friends featuring among the recipients, Danielle Durante for the Emerging Leaders Award, Regina Liu for the Elizabeth L. Scott Award and Veronika Rockova for the Presidents’ Award. Congrats!!!



JSM 2024, Portland, Day 2

Posted in pictures, Running, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 7, 2024 by xi'an

By happenstance, I started my day in the cybersecurity session. With (again) hardly a soul in the room… A first talk on avoiding herding and achieving asymptotic truth learning (about a binary outcome) in a graph by putting constraints on the graph structure, without any clear connection with statistics or cybersecurity. Even less for the second talk on optimising masks. Only with the third one came cybersecurity motivations, the focus being on a two-player Stackelberg game already used in this framework. The result proper was about estimating the parameter of a (rather unrealistic) posited model reproducing the adversarial actions. The last talk about jailbreak attacks was again off-field by miles.


Then attended (as intended!) the 2024 Blackwell-Rosenbluth Award session, featuring the nominees Sharmistha Guha (Texas A&M) on multiple network inference, Simon Mak (Duke) on using Bayesian surrogate models, Guanyang Wang (Rutgers) who recently spoke at our mostly Monte Carlo seminar, Akihiko Nishimura (John Hopkins) on a unification of HMC and PDMPs, most appropriate when located next to Mount Hamilton and the Zigzag river!, and Maria Skoularidou (MIT) on evolutionary Monte Carlo for gene expression. Alas with hardly anyone in the room.

In the afternoon, I went to the (very well-attended this time!, with no seat available for many attendees, incl. yours truly!) COPSS Elizabeth L. Scott Lecture by my friend from Rutgers, Regina Liu, on the highly relevant challenge of combining inferences from diverse data sources. Using the (definitely Rutgerian!) approach of confidence distributions!

Last (late) afternoon, I went swimming from Kevin Duckworth dock, just below the conference centre. Water was quite warm (and green), with a few other swimmers, and no stomachical after-effect, so far. Hence I returned there once again this afternoon.

St Kilda beach² [jatp]

Posted in pictures, Running, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 5, 2023 by xi'an

Pacific [far]Northwest

Posted in Mountains, pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 16, 2023 by xi'an

The last week of our BCations was spent in Prince Rupert, 54⁰18’W, on Kaien Island, almost the northernest coastal spot before Alaska. (Although Stewart, 55⁰56’W, may qualify.) With a much more oceanic [and cooler] weather than in farther south, still warm enough to swim in the ocean. And an interesting airport since it sits on another island, with an airport bus taking all passengers from the airport to town via a 15mn ferry, and luggages being delivered only at the end. (Which led to some confusion on our side!)

This place was once called “the halibut capital of the World”, with numerous canneries of halibut and salmon along the coastline. We visited one such (p)reserved cannery, the North Pacific Cannery, which operated till the 1980’s with appalling working and living conditions (and racial discriminations against First Nation, Chinese and Japanese workers). Which made me realise that Canada had also turned to the internment of Japanese descendants during WW II. While there is some degree of recognition of the First Nation rights to land, since 95% of BC territory is unceded, with acknowledgments of which First Nation one uses the land, the persistence of the colonial era struck me in the numerous topographical names with British connections, from the name of the province, to the name of the city, the first Governor of the Hudson’s Bay Company. (The fish we ate while in Prince Rupert was fabulous!)

Prince Rupert is a passenger ferries and cruise stop, even though most unfortunately the ferry to Alaska was not running this year, supposedly due to staff shortage, although this could be yet another round of the US-Canada dispute of the area. (Cruise days are to be avoided at all costs, as cruisers invade the waterfront and even the closest hiking trails!) This is also the northwesternmost container port in North America connected by rail (hence, an unceasing parade of  endless CPR trains).