Archive for medical school

triste célébration for World Statistics Day

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , on October 21, 2015 by xi'an

As I was discussing yesterday night with my daughter about a practice stats exam she had just taken in medical school, I came upon the following question:

What is the probability that women have the same risk of cancer as men in the entire population given that the selected sample concluded against equality?

Which just means nothing, since conditioning on the observed event, say |X|>1.96, cancels any probabilistic structure in the problem. Worse, I have no idea what is the expected answer to this question!

first semester notes

Posted in Kids, pictures, University life with tags , on December 27, 2014 by xi'an

IMG_0373

prayers and chi-square

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , on November 25, 2014 by xi'an

One study I spotted in Richard Dawkins’ The God delusion this summer by the lake is a study of the (im)possible impact of prayer over patient’s recovery. As a coincidence, my daughter got this problem in her statistics class of last week (my translation):

1802 patients in 6 US hospitals have been divided into three groups. Members in group A was told that unspecified religious communities would pray for them nominally, while patients in groups B and C did not know if anyone prayed for them. Those in group B had communities praying for them while those in group C did not. After 14 days of prayer, the conditions of the patients were as follows:

  • out of 604 patients in group A, the condition of 249 had significantly worsened;
  • out of 601 patients in group B, the condition of 289 had significantly worsened;
  • out of 597 patients in group C, the condition of 293 had significantly worsened.

 Use a chi-square procedure to test the homogeneity between the three groups, a significant impact of prayers, and a placebo effect of prayer.

This may sound a wee bit weird for a school test, but she is in medical school after all so it is a good way to enforce rational thinking while learning about the chi-square test! (Answers: [even though the data is too sparse to clearly support a decision, esp. when using the chi-square test!] homogeneity and placebo effect are acceptable assumptions at level 5%, while the prayer effect is not [if barely].)